陸克文這麼說......................

前澳洲總理陸克文說的一針見血：
There are two ways to cope with the current situation of the China-U.S relationship: Diplomatically, the U.S should maintain a strategy of ambiguity towards the Taiwan issue. Yet, militarily, the Navy and the forces should prepare themselves and get ready for any conflict and crisis that may happen in the next 5 or 10 years. Ambiguity certainly has a point here. if the U.S make declaratory statement to support Taiwan under any circumstance, the independence factions would have gone so far as to put us in great danger, which should be definitely avoided. On the contrary, the military part can, and should have a clear and resolute attitude and policies towards the PRC's threats as it imposes on Taiwan, the East and the South China sea. To put it simple: we must be ambiguous publicly and being clear and alert internally. We should encourage our friends in Taiwan to establish the effective dialog with PRC, not on the basis of 92 principle of course, but as well, not on the separatist intent to be held, either. May be the issue of integration of some distant future instead of 92 principle could work in this possible dialog. Anyway, I don't know what a common ground could bring them into an effective dialog. But they got to talk, and most of all Taiwan should play a more active role in this, not the other way around.

我把關鍵的部分摘要出來，不難，看不懂的話，請用googole翻譯。

這是陸克文前年底在史丹福大學的一場講座中回應聽眾所講的，可以反映英美主流政治菁英對台灣問題的想法。簡單說就是輕聲細語講話，背後帶根大棒，對台灣和大陸都是。台獨是不會被列強允許的，只能自治，所以美國要不要出兵台灣，不能講清楚，但是對中國的大棒子隨時準備，不講清楚是為了不開空白支票讓台獨去花，準備大棒子是萬一要和中國開幹，不會沒準備。這論壇（包括所有台灣藍綠媒體）滿嘴無意義的彼此吠叫，實在又吵又廢，維持現狀就是列強們的答案，至於你們說什麼，不重要！